In different phrases, the President, and Republicans in Congress, intentionally pulled the rug out from underneath the “group of six” proposal, in essentially the most definitive of the way (with Friday morning’s presidential tweets making an attempt to bury it six ft underneath for good measure).
And this was a coordinated effort by Republicans who noticed the proposal as an entire non-starter.
So here is the place lawmakers are proper now, seven days from a possible shutdown, on getting an precise deal (not an settlement, or an settlement in precept, or like-minded individuals considering alike): nowhere shut.
Home and Senate lawmakers are all gone for the lengthy weekend. Keep watch over telephone calls and employees talks, however we possible will not get a transparent glimpse of the gamers once more till Tuesday — 4 days earlier than authorities funding runs out.
And what are the chances of a authorities shutdown: As excessive as they’ve ever been within the Trump administration.
What the “shithole” remark does to negotiations
It is nonetheless an open query, however Democrats do see a dynamic shift right here. Aides — and it is price noting, most straight concerned within the talks have been very quiet Thursday night time, prepared to let this simply sit on the market by itself — say it clearly hardens the resolve on the negotiators, but additionally, as one put it, “lays naked the true motivations and considering of a president who tried to make use of phrases like ‘love’ and the way a lot he cared in entrance of cameras. You inform me who the general public will blame if this does not get achieved.”
Of word: The Republicans who’re gamers within the talks — together with these within the room for the remark — have been silent final night time, past a press release attacking the group of six proposal as “not severe.”
GOP leaders had moved sharply away from something the “group of six” have been engaged on, and have been knowledgeable the White Home could be with them. That is exactly what occurred when that settlement was introduced. Republicans say it is only a recognition of their very sophisticated actuality.
“We won’t do something that may be known as a ‘Flake invoice,'” one Home GOP aide stated flatly. “Our guys would burn the place down.”
“Six individuals who agree on one thing agreed on one thing,” one other Senate GOP aide stated. “That does not make it a deal and it actually does not fly with our guys.”
Or, as Sen. John Cornyn, the second-ranked Republican within the Senate, put it: “Six individuals cannot conform to one thing that can bind the Congress.”
Finest sidebar on Capitol Hill
Which one in all Trump’s finest Senate buddies wins within the battle for his coronary heart and thoughts on immigration: Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham of South Carolina or Republican Sen. Tom Cotton of Arkansas. The behind the scenes on that is fascinating. And on Thursday, with main assist from allies within the White Home, Cotton acquired a transparent win.
What’s nonetheless on the market
The Group of No. 2s — Cornyn, Senate Minority Whip Dick Durbin, Home Majority Chief Kevin McCarthy and Home Minority Whip Steny Hoyer — is the place the middle of gravity has shifted towards, a minimum of within the eyes of senior Republicans in each chambers.
The issue? They have been collectively for all of about 5 days. However in what one GOP aide pointed to as a optimistic: “They’re management. They have juice. And also you wanted one thing to explode earlier than an actual deal might come collectively. And that is what occurred Thursday.”
What was within the Group of 6 proposal?
Per two sources with direct information:
- $1.6 billion towards a border fence, with one other $1.1 invoice in border safety cash for expertise/sources/manpower
- A 10- or 12-year pathway to citizenship for DREAMers, the size relying on whether or not they’d utilized for protections already or not.
- Dad and mom of DACA recipients wouldn’t be eligible for citizenship, however might obtain protected standing in three-year increments
- An overhaul of the variety visa program to deal with those that have had their Non permanent Protected Standing eliminated, and people chosen on advantage from low immigration nations